The last few days has been quiet however below Earths Lithosphere is where things have been building and continue to build.
The amount of Earthquakes has risen with an increase of M4+ magnitudes and a few surprising M5 striking a few places.
With the build up below the surface, we can see a coming slow down within the next 24 hours, but the disturbance will increase back in part of the Moon geometry, we will see a steady increase until a slow down on May 6th.
The sun has been partially calm however, CME’s, plasma filaments and coronal holes have been present. On the Earth-facing side, Earth will be in front of sunspot 4429 in the next 72 hours which will be interesting as the Sunspots are crackling with energy! It will be interesting to see the results in the next 24 hours.
We are under watch for 5 asteroids today. Although they are all far, some of these may have small fragments. We do see traffic in space today along with other objects of interest. Fireballs are possible today and tomorrow.
Speaking on the Schumann graphs, a wild spike just appeared indicating strong tectonic unrest. A possible M6 is at play.
There is a total of 507 currently active disaster alerts.
:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 May 02 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was low. Region 4420 (N16W90, Cao/beta) produced an
impulsive C7.4/Sf flare at 01/1529 UTC, with associated Type-II radio
sweep (est. 593 km/s), as it approached the west limb. Additionally,
this region was then also responsible for a C4.0 flare that peaked at
02/1104 UTC and was accompanied by another Type-II radio sweep (est. 641
km/s). Growth was observed in Regions 4424 (N17W56, Eai/beta), 4428
(S23W33, Dai/beta-gamma), 4429 (S04E13, Dsi/beta), and newly-numbered
4431 (S16E46, Dsi/beta). Regions 4430 (N17W38, Cro/beta) and 4432
(N12E61, Axx/alpha) were relatively quiet.
Further analysis of a CME that was first seen in C2 coronagraph imagery
at approximately 01/1528 UTC determined the event to be a miss well
behind Earths orbit. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available
coronagraph imagery.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a chance for
M-flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) on 02-04 May.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to
moderate levels on 02-04 May. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is
expected to remain at background levels through 04 May.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters remained consistent with ongoing negative polarity
CH HSS influences. Total field strength reached a peak of 6 nT, and the
Bz component briefly reached -5 nT. Solar wind speeds generally averaged
near 450 km/s with lulls between approximately 405-420 km/s.
.Forecast...
The solar wind environment is expected to remain enhanced under negative
polarity CH HSS influences over 02-04 May.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to unsettled levels this period
in response to negative polarity CH HSS influences.
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet and unsettled on 02 and 04
May, with active conditions likely on 03 May, due to continued negative
polarity CH HSS influences.About The Author
