The past 48 hours have been busy with tremors and solar flares. The rising gravity of the new moon has gradually been building stress and continues to build stess today.
Yesterday’s uptick is due to the geometry of the Moon and Sun but today, the geometry continues with the Moon Uranus, Mercury and Jupiter. While Mercury will not cause any actions due to the weak gravity of the planets mass, the larger gas giants have plenty of Gravity and mass. Expect the continue of Earthquakes throughout today and tomorrow.
The sun continues to flare up but mostly on the far side. We have a few turning to Earth side right now but nothing major of anything serious. Very minor complexity. There is two areas to watch for as the areas are slowly starting to show signs of magnetic imbalance.
The Tomsk Schumann is picking up readings which indicates possibly small bursts are happening. With the incoming CME suspected to impact Earth tonight or tomorrow, we could further see more readings show up on the charts.
We are on alert for 5 asteroids today and a few tomorrow. On social network, hype around asteroid 2026 JH2 is completely overblown and misinformation and clickbait are overtaking facts. 2026 JH2 is expected to pass by safely tomorrow but the asteroid is nowhere close to Earth compared to today’s asteroid 2026 KD, which is far more close to Earth. And this was not the only one.
So much news regarding 2026 JH2 and almost zero mentioned of 2026 JN4 which was very close to Earth and it did cause a fireball sighting in certain areas of the world back on May 15th. The day before that was another close asteroid 2026 JV3 but yet again no mention in the media.
Going back to today’s closest asteroid 2026 KD, once again this was not mentioned anywhere in the news or social network sites, yet it is right along Earth at this very moment.
The asteroid 2026 KD is small and should not contain fragments but the sister asteroid 2026 KA is a lot bigger and can contain fragment along with easily uprooted components. 2026 KA is a bit farther away than 2026 KD but close enough for a rouge fireball. Possible fireball sightings today into tomorrow night. Currently there is heavy space traffic being picked up .
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There are currently 506 currently active climate disaster alerts.
:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 May 17 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at moderate levels. Region 4436 produced an M1.9
flare at 16/1612 UTC which was followed by an M1.3 flare at 16/1629.
This event was associated with a Type IV radio sweep that began at
approximately 16/1605 UTC, a filament eruption that was centered at
approximately N21W07 and resulted in a complex CME eruption. The first
front of this event was first seen in LASCO C2 coronagraph imagery at
16/1636 UTC with the second becoming visible near 16/1700 UTC. Initial
analysis and model output suggests a glancing blow to Earth by mid
UTC-day with a bulk of the material passing northward of Earth on 18
May.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is likely to be at low levels, with a chance for
additional M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares through 19 May.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux increased to high levels. The
greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain at moderate
to high levels through 19 May. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is
expected to stay at background levels through 18 May.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
The solar wind parameters reflected continued influence of a negative
polarity coronal hole. Total magnetic field strength was steady near
5nT. The Bz component varied between +/- 5 nT. Solar wind speeds were
mostly between 600-700 km/s. Phi angle was predominantly oriented in a
negative solar sector.
.Forecast...
A negative polarity CH HSS regime is expected to persist through 19 May.
Additional enhancements are possible on 18 and 19 May due to
aforementioned glancing CME influences.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field reached G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels during
early in the reporting period due to influence from a -CH HSS.
.Forecast...
G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely on 17 May due to continued CH
HSS effects. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming, with a chance for G2
(Moderate) levels, are likely once again on 18 May due to any glancing
CME effects from the aforementioned event. A chance for G1 (Minor)
storming will extend into 19 May.About The Author
